Bayesian tools for operations and supply chain.
Predict whether a SKU runs out before its restock lands, learn a stable demand rate from sparse counts, and see which places a bicycle courier can reach.
Questions these tools answer
- Will this SKU run out before replenishment arrives?
- How long can a supplier keep shipping at this rate?
- What is the weekly demand rate, and what might next week bring?
- Which areas are best connected to our sites?
- How long until a component fails?
- How many people does a contractor keep on our site?
Instruments
- Bayesian Stockout Predictor
- Stockpile Pipeline Estimator
- Poisson Rate Calculator
- Travel Surface
- Time-to-Event Explorer
- Portfolio Risk Simulator
- Weighted Decision Matrix
- Serial-Number Estimator
- Capture–Recapture Estimator
Articles
- Will it stock out before the restock arrives?
- How do you estimate how many people a contractor keeps on a site?
- Is the winner of a weighted decision matrix really the best?
- How do you estimate component life when some units are still running?
- How long can a stockpile last?